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Recently, according to relevant reports, the domestic market for dry aluminum fluoride, which had been sluggish for several months, has experienced a sudden surge. Over the weekend, the average ex-factory price climbed from 7,110 yuan per ton to 7,533 yuan per ton, marking a significant 5.95% increase within just one week. This gain placed it at the top of all monitored chemical products.
For much of this year, dry aluminum fluoride has struggled due to weak demand. By early September, prices in Henan had dropped to as low as 6,800 yuan per ton, falling below the crucial 7,000 yuan threshold. In response, some producers in Henan and Shandong began curtailing output or halting production altogether to mitigate losses caused by plummeting prices.
A closer look reveals that the drop in dry aluminum fluoride prices was influenced by multiple factors. Firstly, the price of No. 97 fluorite powder, a key upstream raw material, had fallen to 1,500 yuan per ton—a dramatic 50% decline from the previous year. Additionally, the poor performance of electrolytic aluminum prices at the time, coupled with losses incurred by aluminum companies, further suppressed purchasing power for aluminum fluoride.
"The recent price hike in aluminum fluoride can largely be attributed to increased raw material costs," noted Zhang Li, an analyst from the fluorine chemical industry. She pointed out that the average price of upstream firefighting materials rose from 1,625 yuan per ton in early November to around 1,645 yuan per ton today. Meanwhile, the price of fluorite in Shandong has surged by 50 to 150 yuan per ton, providing support to aluminum fluoride prices. Moreover, upstream hydrofluoric acid prices have shown signs of recovery. However, Zhang Li emphasized that rising costs alone do not fully explain the current price increase.
"A recent move by the National Materials Reserve Bureau to procure 160,000 tons of primary aluminum has boosted downstream demand. Furthermore, aluminum fluoride producers have benefited from significant financial adjustments resulting from this initiative. Manufacturers' operating rates have also improved," explained another analyst, Yuan Ting. She predicted that aluminum fluoride prices would likely continue to rise in the near future. Interestingly, this was the sole bright spot in the otherwise lackluster chemical market last week. Comparatively, the second-highest performer gained only 1.64%. Among all monitored products, just 18 saw price increases ("red"), while 22 reported declines, indicating that the chemical sector may be entering a challenging phase as winter approaches.
"The commodity market in the third week of November has seen a more pronounced downturn compared to the first two weeks of November, signaling a deepening chill," remarked Liu Xintian, chief analyst at the business community.